Articles

Greater Manchester and Blackburn

In Manchester, North West, redistricting on October 10, 2011 by dadge

It’s the eve of the Review Hearings, and Manchester gets first bite at the Commission’s cherry. Let me know how it goes – every evening I hope to bring you the latest gossip.

Is the fight back beginning against the Commission’s “daisy-chain” methodology?! It worries me to hear that the political parties will humour the Commission, in which case it’s even more important that ordinary local people point out the idiocy of some of the initial proposals.

To take an appropriate example, it’s ridiculous to treat the whole of the North West as a single amorphous blob, with communities split and seats crossing borders willy-nilly. Taking a leaf out of the Commission’s (old) book – back in the day when they did their job properly – I’ve split the region up into sensible review areas and dealt with each in turn.

Greater Manchester has a 2010 electorate of 1,957,990, giving it a theoretical entitlement (TE) to 25.55 seats.

Blackburn has an electorate of 101,809, giving it a TE of 1.33 seats.

I propose that the two areas be dealt with together (with a TE of 26.88 seats) and be allocated 27 seats with an average electorate of 76,289.

Combining Blackburn with Bolton and Bury is not ideal, but the border has to be crossed somewhere, and it is possible to create a reasonable seat in this area.

I further propose to divide the county into three review areas, as follows:

review area borough electorate TE combined TE seats average electorate
Greater Manchester East Tameside

168,321

2.20

     
  Stockport

217,872

2.84

5.04

5

77239

  Rochdale

157,335

2.05

 

2

78668

  Oldham

160,369

2.09

 

2

80185

             
Greater Manchester South Manchester

343,889

4.49

     
  Salford

165,689

2.16

     
  Trafford

165,686

2.16

8.81

9

75029

             
Greater Manchester North West Wigan

239,598

3.13

     
  Bolton

196,180

2.56

     
  Bury

143,051

1.87

     
  Blackburn with Darwen

101,809

1.33

8.88

9

75626

EAST

Luckily, considering the average electorates, it is possible to create two seats wholly in Rochdale and two seats wholly in Oldham. I propose to do this, i.e. without any unnecessary cross-border seats. The existing (pre-Review)Rochdale seats can in fact just stay as they are. (The Commission’s proposals split the towns of Royton, Heywood and Chadderton, but that is completely avoidable.)

Combining Tameside and Stockport is problematic. It requires dividing a community (Denton) and a ward (Manor), but apart from these two drawbacks there are four advantages: Ashton and Bredbury aren’t split like they are the Commission’s proposals, and there is no seat crossing the Oldham border; and most importantly, there is no seat crossing the Cheshire border.

ROCHDALE 77,699
Central Rochdale 7,571
Healey 8,006
Littleborough Lakeside 7,795
Smallbridge and Firgrove 7,892
Spotland and Falinge 8,042
Wardle and West Littleborough 7,423
Balderstone and Kirkholt 7,234
Kingsway 8,161
Milkstone and Deeplish 7,594
Milnrow and Newhey 7,981
   
HEYWOOD & MIDDLETON 79,636
East Middleton 7,975
Hopwood Hall 8,314
North Middleton 7,949
South Middleton 7,771
West Heywood 8,559
West Middleton 8,391
Bamford 7,805
Castleton 7,668
North Heywood 7,410
Norden 7,794
   
OLDHAM EAST 80,359
Alexandra 7,434
Saddleworth North 7,638
Saddleworth South 7,900
Saddleworth West and Lees 8,385
St James’ 7,775
St Mary’s 8,544
Waterhead 8,214
Crompton 8,397
Shaw 7,962
Medlock Vale 8,110
   
OLDHAM WEST 80,010
Chadderton South 8,073
Failsworth East 7,941
Failsworth West 7,777
Hollinwood 7,503
Werneth 7,527
Coldhurst 8,514
Royton South 8,406
Royton North 8,135
Chadderton Central 7,921
Chadderton North 8,213
   
ASHTON 78,815
Audenshaw 8,794
Droylsden East 8,962
Droylsden West 9,063
St Peter’s 8,787
Ashton Hurst 8,853
Ashton St Michael’s 8,566
Ashton Waterloo 8,604
Denton North East 8,604
Denton South 8,582
   
STALYBRIDGE & HYDE 80,177
Hyde Godley 8,485
Hyde Newton 9,974
Hyde Werneth 8,850
Longdendale 7,864
Mossley 8,665
Stalybridge North 9,565
Stalybridge South 8,551
Dukinfield 9,486
Dukinfield Stalybridge 8,737
   
STOCKPORT 80,246
Denton West 9,329
Brinnington and Central 9,934
Reddish North 10,555
Reddish South 10,334
Edgeley and Cheadle Heath 10,478
Heatons North 10,401
Heatons South 10,755
Manor 10,460
less part of Manor -2,000
   
CHEADLE 72,826
Cheadle and Gatley 11,402
Cheadle Hulme North 10,013
Cheadle Hulme South 10,469
Heald Green 9,833
Bramhall North 10,542
Bramhall South 9,831
Davenport and Cale Green 10,736
   
HAZEL GROVE 74,129
Hazel Grove 10,921
Marple North 9,818
Marple South 9,584
Offerton 10,365
Stepping Hill 9,707
Bredbury Green and Romiley 10,891
Bredbury and Woodley 10,843
plus part of Manor 2,000

SOUTH

The similarity in electorate in Salford and Trafford is remarkable, and means they both have to “give away” a couple of wards. That’s handy forManchester, which is a few wards short of having 5 seats. Where to cross the border? The existing crossing in the north is acceptable, but although there is continuous development between Wythenshawe and Sale, I’ve tried to avoid splitting Sale between 3 seats and 2 authorities by moving the cross-border seat to Old Trafford.

Although Manchester manages just about without splitting any wards, a small split is required in Sale.

BLACKLEY AND BROUGHTON 79,909
Cheetham 13,255
Crumpsall 9,869
Harpurhey 11,384
Higher Blackley 9,077
Moston 10,903
Broughton 7,599
Kersal 7,818
Charlestown 10,004
   
MANCHESTER CENTRAL 73,096
City Centre 12,731
Hulme 11,347
Ardwick 11,633
Moss Side 10,913
Whalley Range 10,597
Clifford 7,324
Longford 8,551
   
MANCHESTER GORTON 74,812
Gorton North 10,574
Gorton South 11,753
Longsight 10,451
Rusholme 10,042
Ancoats and Clayton 11,219
Bradford 10,381
Miles Platting and Newton Heath 10,392
   
MANCHESTER WITHINGTON 74,542
Fallowfield 10,531
Old Moat 10,641
Chorlton 10,531
Chorlton Park 10,720
Withington 10,948
Burnage 10,438
Levenshulme 10,733
   
MANCHESTER WYTHENSHAWE 72,822
Baguley 10,608
Brooklands 10,300
Didsbury East 10,402
Didsbury West 9,976
Northenden 10,733
Sharston 11,209
Woodhouse Park 9,594
   
TRAFFORD NORTH 76,688
Ashton upon Mersey 7,293
Davyhulme East 7,737
Davyhulme West 7,574
Flixton 8,410
Gorse Hill 7,921
Stretford 7,758
Urmston 8,063
Bucklow-St Martins 7,182
Sale Moor 7,488
Priory 7,762
less part of Bucklow-St Martins -500
   
TRAFFORD SOUTH 73,123
Altrincham 8,242
Bowdon 7,244
Broadheath 9,313
Hale Barns 7,582
Hale Central 7,373
Timperley 8,392
Village 7,837
Brooklands 7,908
St Mary’s 8,732
plus part of Bucklow-St Martins 500
   
SALFORD AND ECCLES 74,752
Irwell Riverside 8,525
Langworthy 8,995
Ordsall 8,197
Weaste and Seedley 8,181
Eccles 8,804
Winton 8,576
Barton 8,498
Cadishead 7,758
Irlam 7,218
   
SWINTON 75,520
Boothstown and Ellenbrook 7,638
Claremont 8,151
Pendlebury 9,055
Swinton North 8,654
Swinton South 8,301
Worsley 8,245
Little Hulton 8,857
Walkden North 8,445
Walkden South 8,174

NORTH WEST

Combining the southern part of Blackburn & Darwen council area with the northern wards of Bolton and Bury creates a Darwen & Ramsbottom or “Turton” constituency containing areas of similar character whilst leaving the main urban areas of Bolton and Bury largely intact. South of those two towns the towns of Farnworth, Kearsley, Whitefield and Prestwich form a new seat together.

In Wigan, my proposals mean that very little change is required from the current (pre-Review) constituencies. A split ward is required: Atherleigh, but this has the advantage that the towns of Atherton and Leigh will not themselves be split between constituencies.

BLACKBURN 76,468
Audley 5,665
Bastwell 5,125
Beardwood with Lammack 4,561
Corporation Park 4,803
Ewood 4,615
Fernhurst 4,356
Higher Croft 5,201
Little Harwood 4,391
Livesey with Pleasington 5,462
Meadowhead 4,392
Mill Hill 4,218
Queen’s Park 4,126
Roe Lee 4,653
Shadsworth with Whitebirk 5,348
Shear Brow 5,142
Wensley Fold 4,410
   
DARWEN & RAMSBOTTOM 75,945
Astley Bridge 10,109
Bromley Cross 10,587
Bradshaw 8,853
North Manor 8,165
Ramsbottom 9,010
Tottington 8,045
Earcroft 3,281
East Rural 1,581
Marsh House 4,661
North Turton with Tockholes 3,518
Sudell 4,753
Sunnyhurst 4,464
Whitehall 3,083
less part of North Manor -4,165
   
BOLTON CENTRAL 75,581
Crompton 9,921
Halliwell 8,811
Tonge with the Haulgh 8,857
Great Lever 9,318
Rumworth 9,754
Breightmet 9,462
Hulton 9,756
Little Lever and Darcy Lever 9,702
   
WESTHOUGHTON 75,454
Horwich and Blackrod 9,586
Westhoughton North and Chew Moor 10,956
Westhoughton South 9,592
Horwich North East 9,772
Heaton and Lostock 10,683
Smithills 9,903
Atherton 10,962
plus part of Atherleigh 4,000
   
BURY 72,839
Church 8,504
East 7,869
Elton 8,513
Moorside 8,955
Redvales 8,850
Radcliffe East 8,677
Radcliffe North 8,810
Radcliffe West 8,496
plus part of North Manor 4,165
   
IRWELL VALLEY 79,715
Besses 8,215
Holyrood 8,775
Pilkington Park 7,854
St Mary’s 8,080
Sedgley 8,792
Kearsley 10,398
Farnworth 10,657
Harper Green 9,503
Unsworth 7,441
   
LEIGH 72,984
Astley Mosley Common 9,357
Leigh East 9,184
Leigh South 10,298
Tyldesley 10,161
Atherleigh 8,535
Hindley 10,059
Hindley Green 8,619
Leigh West 10,771
less part of Atherleigh -4,000
   
MAKERFIELD 74,374
Abram 10,587
Ashton 9,144
Bryn 9,236
Golborne and Lowton West 8,990
Lowton East 9,705
Winstanley 8,871
Worsley Mesnes 9,035
Ince 8,806
   
WIGAN 77,278
Aspull New Springs Whelley 10,161
Douglas 9,694
Pemberton 9,789
Shevington with Lower Ground 9,349
Standish with Langtree 9,745
Wigan Central 9,276
Wigan West 9,959
Orrell 9,305

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2 Responses to “Greater Manchester and Blackburn”

  1. (I posted this in reply to you on pb.com earlier, but am copying it here in case you missed it)

    Interesting stuff. I agree there’s some sense in taking the “half seat” from Lancashire County to add to Greater Manchester County from Blackburn Borough rather than Rossendale Borough as the BC have proposed. I think Darwen and Ramsbottom has a nice feel to it as a seat – a more logical West Pennine Moors seat than Rochdale North and Rawtenstall (sic).

    The problem is that your for the BC to consider your Greater Manchester changes, you need to explain what happens in Lancashire County – because with Darwen added to parts of Bolton N and Bury N, what implications does that have for the BC’s proposals for Rossendale & Darwen and Hyndburn?

    Interesting ideas though – I fully intend to make a submission myself concentrating more on East Lancashire where I hail from, but it’s so hard to unpick their plans because of the knock on effects when you tinker…

  2. […] afraid Denton is split under my counter-proposal, and being a reasonable sort of chap, I’ve had a look at how that might be […]

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