Posts Tagged ‘boundary review’

Articles

2018 Review: Bedfordshire

In News on June 6, 2016 by dadge Tagged: , , , ,

The parts of Bedfordshire are entitled to the following numbers of seats:

Bedford 1.58
Central Beds 2.64
Luton 1.66

Total 5.88, rounded up to 6.

There are several options. First, regarding the northern half of the county, it’s possible to have a Bedford-Rural-and-Biggleswade seat (as now), (N1) with or (N2) without the Wilshamstead and Eastcotts wards which are in Bedford borough but could be included in the Mid Beds seat, and it’s also possible to have (N3) a Bedford Rural seat without Biggleswade, which would then form part of an East Beds seat.

Secondly, regarding Luton and South Beds, there are three possible seat combinations:

S1: Luton South; Luton North; Dunstable, Houghton & Leighton
S2: Luton South; Luton North & Dunstable; Houghton & Leighton
S3: Luton South; Luton North & Houghton; Dunstable & Leighton

It’s only really the third of these that allows the full range of options in the north of the county. The other two only work with the smaller of the two Bedford-Rural-and-Biggleswade seat options.

The burning question is which map do the people of Bedfordshire prefer?

N1: Biggleswade in North Beds
beds llh1

N3: Biggleswade in East Beds
beds llh2

S1: North Luton with villages
beds lls

S2: North Luton with Dunstable
beds lld

S3: North Luton with Houghton
beds llh

Edit: So here’s my current Bedfordshire plan…

beds plan annot.png

North Beds 77718
Bedford 73269
Mid Beds 71526
South West Beds 74132*
Luton North 71048* (includes Chalgrave 377 voters)
Luton South 71881

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2018 Review: North Yorkshire

In News on June 4, 2016 by dadge Tagged: , , ,

North Yorkshire (including York) is entitled to 8 seats.

I’m no fan of the current York Inner/Outer seats – I’ve no idea how the MPs or constituents know where the border is – so I’ve changed them to East and West.

The Ryedale (Thirsk & Malton) seat is slightly too small, so, rather than adding districts from Scarborough district I’ve added Tanfield ward, and I’m also including South Otterington village (in Morton ward), which the green line on the map shows is actually in the seat already.

nyorksplan

York East 73231
York West 74133
Selby & Ainsty 72685
Harrogate 74319
Skipton & Ripon 74270
Richmond 73795*
Thirsk & Malton 71459*
Scarborough & Whitby 75963

*estimate

Articles

2018 review: Lincolnshire

In News on June 2, 2016 by dadge Tagged: , , ,

At some point it’d be nice to “reunite” Lincolnshire with the parts it lost to Humberside, but for the time being it’d be too disruptive.

Relatively minor changes are required to the county’s seats.

lincs

Lincoln 77663
Sleaford 77031
Grantham & Stamford 77056
South Holland 74332
Boston & Skegness 71616
Louth & Horncastle 71182
Gainsborough 72401

Lincolnshire in 1899

Articles

2018 Review: Somerset

In News on June 2, 2016 by dadge Tagged: , , , , ,

What I’m calling Somerset is actually:

Somerset 5.20
North Somerset 2.02
Bath and North East Somerset 1.73

where the numbers are the mathematical entitlement to seats. They add up to 8.96, so together this area gets 9 seats.

Here are two plans. The first one mantains a Somerton and Frome seat; the second one is more radical, putting Frome in a northern Somerset seat and separating Glastonbury from Wells.

somerset4

 

Weston 75333
North Somerset 75979
Bath 75570
Midsomer 72809
Somerton & Frome 72905
Wells 73455
Bridgwater & West Somerset 71437
Taunton 78187
Yeovil 74076

somerset2

Weston 75333
North Somerset 75979
Bath 75570
Midsomer 77822
Glastonbury 71451
Wells 72307
Bridgwater & West Somerset 71437
Taunton 75776
Yeovil 74076

Articles

The 2018 Review: England

In News on June 1, 2016 by dadge Tagged: , , , , ,

Day by day throughout June I’m going to go through the counties of England, making my proposals for new parliamentary constituencies to be used at the next (2020?) General Election. Five years ago I started the same process and it came to naught, but this time it seems likely that parliament will adopt the changes that are put forward by the Boundary Commission. In some counties not much has changed, but in most places the aborted plans from five years ago don’t work any more. This is partly because of Individual Electoral Registration, which has had a significant effect on the register of voters, especially in student areas, where most students are no longer registered in their halls of residence.

I’ve split England into 42 areas, some of which are very large because even as I write I’m not sure what I think is the best plan for those areas; the number in the last column is the date in June that (hopefully) I’ll be blogging about each one.

AREA COUNTY ELECTORATE ENTITLE- MENT SEATS AVERAGE PLAN DATE
1Y BARNSLEY 167715 2.24      
DONCASTER 211267 2.83      
ROTHERHAM 192118 2.57      
WAKEFIELD 237299 3.17      
808399 10.81 11 73491 28
2A BEDFORDSHIRE 439574 5.88 6 73262 6
3S BERKSHIRE 587676 7.86 8 73460 14
4M BIRMINGHAM 686804 9.19      
SANDWELL 215484 2.88      
902288 12.07 12 75191 26
5W BRISTOL 300195 4.01 4 75049 1
6S BUCKINGHAMSHIRE 366601 4.90 5 73320 7
7Y CALDERDALE 142864 1.91 2 71432 28
8A CAMBRIDGESHIRE 554887 7.42      
NORFOLK 645761 8.64      
1200648 16.06 16 75041 23
9L CHESHIRE 773350 10.34      
GREATER MANCHESTER 1897229 25.37      
MERSEYSIDE 978417 13.09      
3648996 48.80 49 74469 29
10N CLEVELAND 396566 5.30      
DURHAM 452644 6.05      
SUNDERLAND 205546 2.75      
1054756 14.11 14 75340 27
11W CORNWALL 393874 5.27      
DEVON 852765 11.41      
1246639 16.67 17 73332 24
12L CUMBRIA 373997 5.00 5 74799 5
13E DERBYSHIRE 756550 10.12 10 75655 17
14W DORSET 555760 7.43      
WILTSHIRE 495310 6.62      
1051070 14.06 14 75076 15
15M DUDLEY 239405 3.20      
WALSALL 186960 2.50      
WOLVERHAMPTON 170212 2.28      
596577 7.98 8 74572 26
16A ESSEX 1274597 17.05 17 74976 13
17W GLOUCESTERSHIRE 663115 8.87 9 73679 16
18S HAMPSHIRE 1273506 17.03 17 74912 21
19M HEREFORDSHIRE 133026 1.78      
SHROPSHIRE 348907 4.67      
WORCESTERSHIRE 427975 5.72      
909908 12.17 12 75826 11
20A HERTFORDSHIRE 801230 10.72 11 72839 20
21Y HUMBERSIDE 661995 8.85 9 73555 19
22S KENT 1227088 16.41      
SUSSEX EAST 566264 7.57      
SUSSEX WEST 598549 8.01      
2391901 31.99 32 74747 25
23Y KIRKLEES 295405 3.95 4 73851 28
24L LANCASHIRE 1051309 14.06 14 75094 22
25Y LEEDS 515304 6.89      
BRADFORD 326783 4.37      
842087 11.26 11 76553 28
26E LEICESTERSHIRE & RUTLAND 734623 9.83 10 73462 23
27E LINCOLNSHIRE 521281 6.97 7 74469 3
28G LONDON NORTH 3092886 41.37 41 75436 30
29G LONDON SOUTH 2025998 27.10 27 75037 30
30N NORTHUMBERLAND 232448 3.11      
TYNE 587192 7.85      
819640 10.96 11 74513 27
31E NOTTINGHAMSHIRE 769021 10.29 10 76902 18
32ES NORTHAMPTONSHIRE 493571 6.60      
MILTON KEYNES 169933 2.27    
663504 8.87 9 73723 23
33S OXFORDSHIRE 461334 6.17 6 76889 8
34Y SHEFFIELD 381430 5.10 5 76286 28
35M SOLIHULL 153873 2.06 2 76937 12
36W SOMERSET 669751 8.96 9 74417 2
37M STAFFORDSHIRE 815327 10.90 11 74121 10
38A SUFFOLK 526217 7.04 7 75174 23
39S SURREY 816524 10.92 11 74229 9
40M WARWICKSHIRE 401316 5.37      
COVENTRY 210031 2.81      
611347 8.18 8 76418 12
41S WIGHT 105448 1.41 2 52724 1
42Y YORKSHIRE NORTH 589855 7.89 8 73732 4

According to the law, England is currently entitled to 501 seats in parliament. The 2016 electorate of England is 37,189,911, giving an average of 74,769. The law also states that every seat (except for in Northern Ireland, the Isle of Wight and the Northern and Western Isles) must have an electorate within 5% of the average. So the seats have to have between 71,031 and 78,507 voters in each. So some counties and most boroughs need be put together to make this possible.

Please comment on the proposals I make, and please prepare your own suggestions for when the Commission starts accepting them in the autumn. The data you need is on their website, and there’s an excellent online tool for you to draw constituency maps on.