Posts Tagged ‘London’

Articles

2018 Review: Middlesex

In News on July 16, 2016 by dadge Tagged:

North West London is another challenging area for redistricting. It’s possible to divide it between:

Ealing 2.79
Brent 2.44
Barnet 2.79
Total: 8.02 —> 8 seats

and

Hammersmith 1.41
Hounslow 2.13
Hillingdon 2.46
Total: 6.00 —> 6 seats

but Harrow (2.15) is left over, with a pesky ward to give away and fit in somewhere.

nw london

This problem can be partly solved by adding a Barnet ward (e.g. East Finchley) to Haringey, but that’s not very fair on Finchley, and it doesn’t fully solve the redistricting problem because the ward sizes across the area make it difficult to construct average-sized seats.

What I’ve tried to avoid is splitting communities between seats. I’ve identified several communities, e.g. Southall, Hayes, Ruislip, Willesden, etc. and which wards they’re comprised of, and rejected plans that split these communities between seats. There are a couple of exceptions, for example Ealing Town, which pretty much has to be divvied up.

Then there’s the question of what can go with what. I’ve avoided a Wembley & White City seat and a Brentford & White City seat because neither makes much geographical sense. This leaves Acton & White City as the only sensible option, and it also means abandoning adherence to the two groupings listed above.

A less settled question, I think, concerns Heathrow. Although at the Fifth Review the Commission came down firmly against a cross-airport seat, the zombie review proposed one, and I think a good case can be made for having one.

Version A

nwlondon

Barnet 72480
Edgware & Kingsbury 78075
Finchley 75790
Wembley 77790*
Willesden 77742* (includes PDs CWH4/5/6 & CST2 3992 voters)
Ealing Greenford 75692* (includes Walpole PD VE 2717 voters)
Brentford 78425*
Hammersmith & Fulham 77725
Acton & White City 72275
Feltham & Hounslow 72678
Southall & Heston 78143
Uxbridge 71535
Hayes & Northolt 72071
Ruislip 74803
Harrow 77028
Stanmore 77387

Version B

nwlondon2

Barnet 72480
Edgware & Kingsbury 78075
Finchley 75790
Wembley 77022*
Willesden 76965* (includes Welsh Harp PDs CWH 4/5//6 3215 voters)
Greenford & Sudbury 73429
Hammersmith & Fulham 77725
Acton & White City 72275
Brentford-Ealing 76586* (includes Osterley ward PD O 2370 voters)
Heston & Hounslow 77984*
Southall & Hanwell 73967
Uxbridge & Hayes 77294
Feltham & West Drayton 73782
Ruislip-Northwood 72471
Harrow West 76393
Harrow East 77401

Middlesex in 1941

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Articles

2018 Review: Central London

In News on July 14, 2016 by dadge Tagged:

Entitlements:

Tower Hamlets 2.02 (2 seats)
Hackney 1.98 (2 seats)

City 0.08
Westminster 1.49
Camden 1.74
Islington 1.79
Haringey 1.89
Total 6.99 —> 7 seats

Alternative groupings are
(a) City, Westminster, Kensington, Hammersmith; and
(b) Islington, Camden, Haringey, Barnet;
but the entitlement of the latter group is 8.21, meaning that the seats are quite large and it’s difficult, especially around Finchley and Hendon, to make seats in quota, even by splitting wards.

london_n

Bethnal Green & Bow 76868
Poplar & Limehouse 74283
Hackney North 75318
Hackney South 73026
Cities of London & Westminster 74463
**North Westminster & West Hampstead 72233
**Hampstead & Camden Town 75029
Finsbury 74997
Islington North 77247
Hornsey & Wood Green 74275
Tottenham 74648

**If you don’t like splitting Hampstead, it’s possible to have (1) Hampstead and (2) Camden Town & North Westminster seats instead, but the latter would have Regent’s Park in the middle of it and an ill-defined boundary through Kentish Town.

Articles

2018 Review: South East London

In News on July 14, 2016 by dadge Tagged:

Entitlements:

Bromley 3.02 —> 3 seats

Bexley 2.21
Greenwich 2.15
Lewisham 2.24
Southwark 2.50
Total: 9.09 —> 9 seats

selondon

Beckenham 72004
Orpington 78277
Bromley & Chislehurst 75812

Erith 76300
Bexleyheath & Sidcup 73127
Woolwich 77050
Eltham 77729
Lewisham South 73275
Dulwich & Forest Hill 73744
Greenwich & Deptford 77232
Peckham & Camberwell 73463
Southwark & Bermondsey 77623

Articles

2018 Review: South London

In News on July 11, 2016 by dadge Tagged: ,

Entitlements:

Croydon 3.13
Sutton 1.82
Total: 4.95 (5 seats)

Wandsworth 2.69
Lambeth 2.52
Merton 1.74
Total: 6.94 (7 seats)

Richmond 1.69
Kingston 1.40
Total: 3.09 (3 seats)

london ssw

Croydon North 73450* (includes South Norwood PDs SN1/2, 3195 voters)
Croydon South 74781* (includes Heathfield PDs HE3/4/5/6, 6214 voters)
Croydon East 75430* (includes remainder of the split wards)
Carshalton & Wallington 71308
Sutton & Cheam 75223

Lambeth & Clapham 78350
Brixton-Norwood 75074
Streatham & Tooting 72556*
Battersea 73117* (includes Bedford ward PD BFA 2624 voters)
Putney 72873* (includes Southfields ward PD SFC 3479 voters)
Wimbledon 74569*
Mitcham & Morden 72649

Twickenham 78247
Richmond Park 74740
Kingston 77995

Articles

2018 Review: North East London

In News on July 10, 2016 by dadge Tagged:

Entitlements:
Havering 2.37
Barking 1.49
Newham 2.27
Total: 6.13 —> 6 seats

Redbridge 2.38
Waltham Forest 2.08
Enfield 2.57
Total: 7.03 —> 7 seats

Including Enfield in East London isn’t ideal, but it’s hard to avoid. Swapping it with Tower Hamlets or Hackney would leave the area with half a seat over.

londonne

Romford 73219* (includes EM2, 2266 voters)
Hornchurch & Upminster 75798*
Dagenham & Rainham 74990* (includes EC, 1285 voters)
Barking & Beckton 78295*
East Ham 78150
West Ham 78146

Ilford 78212
Woodford & Hainault 75705
Leyton & Wanstead 76464
Walthamstow 71586
Edmonton & Chingford 76632
Enfield Southgate 72787
Enfield North 74422

Articles

2018 Review: London

In News on July 10, 2016 by dadge Tagged: ,

In the recent past, London’s borough boundaries were considered sacrosanct, and constituencies only crossed them in extremis. The new 5% rule on constituency sizes means that there will now have to be quite a few seats that include parts of more than one borough, but it doesn’t mean that we should abandon the boroughs as building blocks altogether. In working out a distribution plan for London, it’s best to start by looking at which boroughs can be dealt with on their own, and which blocks of boroughs can be formed from the remaining areas.

North East (17 seats)
Tower Hamlets 2.02 (2)
Hackney 1.98 (2)
Havering, Barking, Newham 6.13 (6)
Enfield, Waltham Forest, Redbridge 7.03 (7)

North West (24 seats)
Kensington 1.02 (1)
City, Westminster, Camden, Islington, Haringey 6.99 (7)
Hillingdon, Harrow, Brent, Hounslow, Ealing, Hammersmith, Barnet 16.18 (16)

South (27 seats)
Bromley 3.02 (3)
Kingston, Richmond 3.09 (3)
Croydon, Sutton 4.95 (5)
Lambeth, Wandsworth, Merton 6.94 (7)
Bexley, Greenwich, Lewisham, Southwark 9.09 (9)